OPERATIONALIZING DOWNS MODEL

 

 

Utility, broadly conceived, might be operationalized in any of several ways:

 

1. Which candidate do you feel closest to?  (Feeling Thermometer)

 

       Utility I = FT Bush  -  FT Clinton

 

where    FT Bush = V29 and FT Clinton = V31

 

A positive value indicates Bush is favored.

A negative value indicates Clinton is favored.

 

 

2. Which candidate do you feel closest to ideologically?  (Relative Distance)

 

       Distance to Bush        =     |V53 - V54|

 

       Distance to Clinton    =     |V53 - V55|

 

where V53 is the Respondent’s Ideological Self-Identification, V54 is R’s Sense of Bush’s Ideology, and V55 is R’s sense of Clinton’s Ideology

 

       Utility II = D Bush  -  D Clinton

 

A negative number indicates that the Respondent is closer to Bush.

A positive number indicates that the Respondent is closer to Clinton.

 

 

3. Which is the best party or candidate to handle a set of issues?

 

       V45              Most Important Problem

       V50              Economy/Party (R)

       V51              Economy/Candidate

       V52              Deficit

       V59              Taxes/Candidate

       V60              Taxes/Party (R)

       V88              Foreign Affairs

       V89              War (R)

 

Each issue is scored 1 = Republican, 2 = No Difference, 3 = Democrats AFTER you recode variables V50, V59 and V89.

 

Best Party = V45 + V50 + V51 + V52 + V59 + V60 + V88 + V89

 

              A low score favors the Republicans. (8)

              A high score favors the Democrats (24)

              Neither party is advantaged is the score is 16.

 

 

 

 


Other Variables in the Downsian Model:

 

Vote

 

       V1

 

Vote Choice

 

       V2

 

To get rid of Perot and simplify the analysis, RECODE V2 so that 3 = Missing.

 

Probability of Affecting the Outcome

 

       V109 Political Efficacy

 

Cost of Voting

 

There aren’t really any good measures of the costs of voting in this data.  We can create a measure of difficulty citizen have in voting by relying on a few assumptions.  Those with low incomes have a harder time with the costs of voting.  Minorities have historically faced discrimination in their attempts to vote.  New voters face the hurdle of registering for the first time. 

 

       V132 Income  (1, 2 = 1) (3, 4, 5, 6, 7 = 0)

              V126 Race/Ethnicity (1 = 0)(2, 3, 4=1)

              V127 Age (1=1)(2, 3, 4, 5, 6 = 0)

 

       Cost = V132 + V126 + V127

 

A high value indicates more hurdles to face, e.g., 3 = a young, poor minority citizen.

 

Value of Democracy

 

       V114     Trust in Government Index